Euro House Expansion Flatlines, EUR/USD Dancing to Powell’s Song


EUR/USD Value, Chart, and Research

  • This fall q/q enlargement flatlines, y/y misses expectancies.
  • Fed chair Powell’s hawkish testimony hammers EUR/USD.

Advisable via Nick Cawley

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Euro House q/q enlargement flatlined within the closing 3 months of 2022, in keeping with marketplace expectancies, whilst y/y enlargement rose via 1.8%, a fragment underneath marketplace forecasts, in keeping with the Eurostat, the statistical place of business of the Eu Union. Greece (+1.4%) recorded the very best build up of GDP in comparison to the former quarter, adopted via Malta (+1.2%) and Cyprus (+1.1%). The very best decreases have been noticed in Poland (-2.4%), Estonia (-1.6%) and Finland (-0.6%). The Euro House recorded enlargement of 0.3% within the 3rd quarter.


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German knowledge launched previous as of late confirmed retail gross sales weakening via greater than anticipated whilst business manufacturing picked up sharply, beating forecasts simply.


EUR/USD is little modified post-GDP knowledge and stays at, or very with regards to, lows closing observed at first of January. An additional re-pricing of US rate of interest expectancies, fueled via Fed chair Jerome Powell’s hawkish testimony to the Senate the previous day, powered the dollar upper towards a spread of currencies and hit chance sentiment exhausting. US 2-year bond yields touched a recent 15-year prime of five.04%, whilst markets at the moment are pricing in a 50 foundation level charge hike at this month’s FOMC coverage assembly.

EUR/USD broke out of the bearish flag formation now we have following lately and these days trades slightly below 1.0550. Large determine make stronger at 1.0500 is more likely to cling to any extent further sell-off within the brief time period even if if Friday’s US Jobs Document is stronger-than-expected, this degree will come underneath heavy force. Underneath right here, 1.0460 comes into play.

EUR/USD Day-to-day Value Chart – March 8, 2023


Chart by way of TradingView

of shoppers are internet lengthy.

of shoppers are internet brief.

Exchange in Longs Shorts OI
Day-to-day 45% -33% 2%
Weekly 36% -29% 3%

Large Shift in Retail Positioning – Investors Ramp Up Lengthy Positions

Retail dealer knowledge display 64.84% of buyers are net-long with the ratio of buyers lengthy to brief at 1.84 to one.The collection of buyers net-long is 44.15% upper than the previous day and 22.52% upper from closing week, whilst the collection of buyers net-short is 41.19% less than the previous day and 21.20% decrease from closing week.

We most often take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the truth buyers are net-long suggests EUR/USD costs would possibly proceed to fall. Investors are additional net-long than the previous day and closing week, and the combo of present sentiment and up to date adjustments provides us a more potent EUR/USD-bearish contrarian buying and selling bias.

What’s your view at the EURO – bullish or bearish?? You’ll be able to tell us by way of the shape on the finish of this piece or you’ll be able to touch the creator by way of Twitter @nickcawley1.


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